Nfl Records List
Simple NFL Systems – # 49: The effect of the Super Bowl
After studying and cataloging hundreds of different trends in the situation NFL the last ten years, yes, I learned that there are only three different types of situations to effectively combat the spread. Each has the potential to expose profit opportunities on the line – is just very different ways.
The most common and primary category (representing most situations that I use) refers to situations based on mathematical measures specific areas teamwork, working to reveal where a party may have an advantage over the other after the point spread is a factor in. Examples are mainly based on trends Rush offense Notices, Driving Force indicators of equipment, or any other statistical measure of the competence of the team.
The second group includes situations where isolated in which the betting public is significantly behind its assessment of the strength of the team and an opportunity for profits arising on the basis of "partial" on the line can be present. Many of these situations work their magic at the beginning of the season, when the punters are putting Paris on what the teams from all over Last season, contrary to what they show in the first few weeks of this season.
Third and final category use situations that may be classified as "down" or "dynamic situations" and that is where my degree in "Armchair Psychology" I like to call it, is very convenient.
"Momentum" is a catch-all cliché and sport has been so overused in recent decades, is difficult to give much credit, especially since 99% of the time, the term pay (usually through the blind review of their television broadcasts NFL Network), the computer that is attached as having the "call" peak in the momentum, in fact, more likely that the levels of dissemination of his opponent.
Abuse and "watering down" terms such as "dynamic" and is the opposite situation: the "down", do not hide the fact there are still many situations shown to exist in the NFL, where teams may be able to build on a positive note recent event, or maybe not his best efforts due to some factors against him.
This situation should come with a prominent warning label – the trends based on armchair psychology "" Really are the most difficult to prove by a subjective analysis, and those betting solely on the basis of disability in these situations may be on a slippery slope indeed.
The important lesson here is that even the logic of the study situations more likely to have been successful in the past (one that comes to mind relates to the teams face a division rival no less than comfortable in a game that is sandwiched between two meetings Division of road), it can still be simply the product of chance, or a combination of luck and other factors that have nothing to do with the logic specific situation itself.
Despite the potential dangers associated with "trends Category 3," I love you still use a variety of them on a weekly basis. With this class, I always try to use only 2-4 main conditions and not too "struts (secondary conditions). The approach KISS appears to offer the best chance of success in the future work with these trends very subjective.
No wonder then, that the circumstances I would have considered in this work is very simple in nature (it is an article "Simple systems, after all). Its principle is based on teams' playing in a game come when faced with supporters of the Super Bowl-winner in the game immediately afterwards.
It is not uncommon for teams to look beyond of his current opponent, under certain circumstances, especially if a team with a winning record may have the intent of a statement against the champion in recent years.
When we take the above condition is the main and add the stipulation that the outputs of an opponent during clutch victory (clutch victory came when a team agrees on the final score of the game, whether in the 4th quarter or overtime, moving to a position of stalemate or losing, winning one), we find a system that produced a record of 2-17 ATS team issue since 1994.
Full details of this system are listed below. You will notice that winning teams play in more frequently (57.1% of the time) and involved 16 different teams since 1994 – which is excellent when you consider that only slightly more than 20 games have met the criteria (which includes "push" not on the register 2-17 ATS).
(Notes: ASM means and TDIS% average margin is the percentage of teams League who have participated in this system at one time or another. By weight% of the percentage of teams that are 0500 or more and SPR is the difference means for the teams in this situation.)
No. 49 Summary of the system (last update: January 15, 2008)
Primary Conditions (Building Blocks)
1) The team played last season with Super Bowl-win in their next game.
2) Opponent current destination of a clutch victory.
Secondary Conditions (braces)
1) None.
System Statistics
ASM: -5.6
% Home: 57.1
Dog%: 38.1
TDIS%: 50.0
Weight%: 57.1
SPR: -0.38
Best Teams MIA (3) ATL (2) IND (2) NYG (2)
File System
In general (94): 2-17 ATS
Season 2007: 0-0 ATS
2006 Season: 0-2 ATS
2005 Season: 0-1 ATS
2004 Season: 0-1 ATS
Last three results. Choose between parentheses.
WK12 2006-38 TB 10 DAL DAL (-11) W
2006-16 WK4 SD 13 BAL (BAL 2.5) W
WK9 2005 – CHI 20 NW 17 (CHI -3) P
About the Author
Dennis Arthur, a self-professed statistics junkie and American Football fanatic, has been providing innovative NFL analysis based against the Vegas point spread since 1999. For more wagering orientated articles like this one along with specialized team ratings and situational trend analysis, visit his site at http://www.armchairanalysis.com.
Randy Moss 2007 Season Highlights/Tribute
|
|
Invincible $4.69 Pursuing a lifelong dream, bartender Vincent Papale (Mark Wahlberg) attends tryouts for the Philadelphia Eagles in 1976 when Coach Dick Vermeil (Greg Kinnear) announces an unprecedented open call for the struggling football team. Papale makes the squad, but must prove himself all over again to his teammates on the field. Uplifting sports drama based on true events also stars Elizabeth Banks, Kevin… |
|
|
The Replacements (Snap Case) $6.47 Rousing football romp, inspired by the 1987 NFL strike, in which washed-up coach Gene Hackman recruits a colorful assortment of has-been and never-were players to take to the gridiron for the pro Washington Sentinels during a labor walk-out. Keanu Reeves is the quarterback prone to losing the big game; Brooke Langton the cheerleader he falls for; and Jon Favreau, Orlando Jones and Rhys Ifans are a… |
|
|
A Soccer Life in Shorts $0.99 Getting a yellow card at age eight…snubbing an internationally reknown goalkeeper and having the only bicycle kick he’s ever scored called back are just a few of the many hilarious true stories in this collection of short stories, poems and pictures from a lifetime in soccer by Mark Vincent Lincir. He is also the author of THE GIFT OF STOPPAGE TIME and THE WORLD NEEDS MORE BELLY RUBS…. |
|
|
NFL Record & Fact Book 2010 (Official National Football League Record and Fact Book) $3.48 “The NFL Record and Fact Book 2010″ is a must for every football fan. This 688-page reference book is jam-packed with all the facts and figures a football fan would ever want, including all-time records, team rosters, and schedules, past standings, Super Bowl results, and more. “The Record and Fact Book 2010″ also includes a digest of NFL rules, team directories, and active and career coaching rec… |
|
|
R is for Ricochet $0.94 R in the Grafton alphabet series…. |
