2006 Nfl Standings
Simple NFL Systems – # 32: The winless teams that deserve attention
Here is a simple system that everyone connected around Paris Internet, or a newspaper sports section last week and may continue. Usually, they offer opportunities for profit each season 2-6.
The premise is as follows: Most of us know that the NFL point spread to encourage shade often oppressed because of the prejudices inherent in the market in the NFL in Paris the favorite. This bias is even more pronounced when certain situations arise and in this betting system definitely falls into this category.
This system is based only on the first two basic conditions. First is that this team has not won straight-up. Necessarily, should not be wins against propagation, that without the victory league standings.
Secondly, only watch half games of the season, ie between 6 and 13 weeks. This system is not effective in the first five weeks of the regular season, when the bettor always support the teams undefeated in most cases. There was only a few teams in league history who remained winless after Week 13, and this system has had mixed results in these cases.
So what ATS is the record winning teams of 6 to 13 weeks from 1994? They are an excellent 55-22 ATS in the last 13 seasons and a perfect 5-0 ATS in 2006!
Probably ready to ask how a certain angle, simple paris obviously continue to perform well against the spread of the Year after year? The answer is in reference to the beginning of this article to a bias inherent in Paris on favorite for many 'square' bettors in North America. In this particular case is even more pronounced, because many more people are essentially "abandoned" to the teams without a win in Week 6. More action favorite – and the teams that are winless after Week 6, in fact, a stranger in more than 86% of cases – a line that is slightly larger and higher risk below that will earn him the number.
Another factor in all this is that teams are 0-5, 0-6, etc. are probably not as bad as their record might indicate. You not lose their first six games by getting a lucky break here and there. Of the 77 cases in the last 13 seasons the team played without a win in week 06/13 only seven times they actually have a turnover differential greater than 0 and more than half of their regular game was special and differential treatment below -1. Historically, teams with a range of seasonal special and differential treatment for poor to good rebound potential date, whether or not winning.
So here are the details of this little gem (after adding in a public school too.)
(Notes: ASM stands for the propagation average margin and the IDA% is the percentage of teams in the league who have been involved in this system at one time or another.% is the percentage WT teams that are 0500 or more and SPR is the average spread of the teams in this situation.)
32 Summary of the system # (Last update: January 15, 2008)
Primary Conditions (Building Blocks)
1) The SU team is winning.
2) weeks 6-13.
Terms Secondary (reinforcement)
1) Current Opponent had an Over Under (OU)
Statistical System
ASM 5.4
% Home: 50.9
Dog%: 88.7
TDIS%: 59.4
Weight%: 0.0
SPR: 5.74
Best team: det (8), NIC (7) car (5) ATL (4)
Archive system
In general (94): 40-11 ATS
2007 Season: 4-2 ATS
2006 Season: 3-0 ATS
2005 Season: 1-0 ATS
2004 Season: 1-1 ATS
Last three results. Choose brackets
2007 WK12 holes 3 0 (MIA MIA 16) W
2007 L WK11-PHI 17 MIA 7 (MIA 9.5)
WK10 2007 37-STL 29 (STL 11) W
About the Author
Dennis Arthur, a self-professed statistics junkie and American Football fanatic, has been providing innovative NFL analysis based against the Vegas point spread since 1999. For more wagering orientated articles like this one along with specialized team ratings and situational trend analysis, visit his site at http://www.armchairanalysis.com.
NFL Today Week 7 Hot Topic: NFC East and AFC North Standings
|
|
Fisher Price ESPN Fast Action Football Electronic Game Table $199.99 Are you ready for some football’ ESPN Fast Action Football brings the excitement of football indoors. It’s the first indoor game table that combines a digital electronic display with physical head-to-head football action. Control fast-paced action and bone-crunching moves using the easy-to-operate footpad and joystick. A multi-colored light-up field display adds to the action. Progress through thr… |
|
|
2006 Leaf Rookies and Stars Standing Ovation Materials #3 – Chris Brown/250 2006 Leaf Rookies and Stars Standing Ovation Materials #3 – Chris Brown… |
|
|
2006 Leaf Rookies and Stars Standing Ovation Materials Prime #11 – Marc Bulger/25 2006 Leaf Rookies and Stars Standing Ovation Materials Prime #11 – Marc Bulger… |
|
|
2006 Leaf Rookies and Stars Standing Ovation Red #9 – Lee Evans/1000 2006 Leaf Rookies and Stars Standing Ovation Red #9 – Lee Evans… |
